Lots of statements from commentators (both paid and unpaid) about the value of winning the toss and batting first in India. Universally held, winning the toss is a big advantage and quite a few comments along the lines of, "once we lost the toss, we'd lost the game." And I can see why people say this, logically if batting becomes harder over time, you want to bat earlier in the game. But looking at the statistics there is very little support for this. Using cricinfo's stats guru function it is possible to see what happened to the side batting first in each game played in India for the period from 2000. There's a nice round 100 games in the period (doesn't include current test) and the stats for the 21st century are. Bat 1 = Win = 32 Bat 1 = lose = 41 Bat 1 = Draw = 27 So across a decent sample size the evidence seems to suggest, in complete contrast to intuition, bat second. Do I believe this? Wellllll...